Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.181404 0.209889 0.241346 0.278658 0.321711 0.369835 0.427724
2025-10-26 0.136182 0.174231 0.220566 0.281137 0.358254 0.453207 0.579117
2025-11-02 0.109554 0.150327 0.203475 0.277815 0.379162 0.512618 0.701974
2025-11-09 0.089536 0.130098 0.185995 0.268624 0.387743 0.553439 0.801893
2025-11-16 0.079094 0.120767 0.181027 0.274472 0.415854 0.622060 0.946382
2025-11-23 0.069842 0.111485 0.174353 0.276114 0.436882 0.681514 1.083074
2025-11-30 0.062984 0.104700 0.170203 0.280460 0.461659 0.748241 1.237352
2025-12-07 0.055297 0.095450 0.160843 0.274984 0.469563 0.788534 1.352956
2025-12-14 0.049249 0.088061 0.153466 0.271576 0.479935 0.833131 1.479600
2025-12-21 0.045219 0.083586 0.150355 0.274851 0.501670 0.898473 1.648226
2025-12-28 0.043119 0.082251 0.152455 0.287382 0.540817 0.997602 1.887045
2026-01-04 0.040646 0.079898 0.152394 0.295814 0.573162 1.087466 2.118070
2026-01-11 0.038109 0.077195 0.151514 0.302858 0.604170 1.179026 2.364492
2026-01-18 0.035283 0.073597 0.148543 0.305534 0.627087 1.257798 2.595340
2026-01-25 0.032096 0.068870 0.142797 0.301926 0.636896 1.311706 2.781860
2026-02-01 0.028645 0.063172 0.134440 0.291940 0.632371 1.336119 2.909798
2026-02-08 0.027101 0.061359 0.133892 0.298294 0.662789 1.435193 3.206158
2026-02-15 0.025301 0.058765 0.131385 0.300077 0.683420 1.515533 3.470276
2026-02-22 0.023906 0.056916 0.130280 0.304799 0.710958 1.613346 3.783535
2026-03-01 0.021840 0.053268 0.124768 0.298850 0.713555 1.656110 3.975523
2026-03-08 0.020135 0.050279 0.120433 0.295147 0.720909 1.710228 4.199669
2026-03-15 0.019060 0.048696 0.119205 0.298705 0.745879 1.807495 4.537394
2026-03-22 0.018676 0.048788 0.121977 0.312319 0.796750 1.971020 5.054776